Petapixel's 10 Predictions for 2024!

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OK guys, let the discussions begin! Here are Petapixel's 10 predictions for 2024:

  1. The R1 will be announced in 2024 and will feature a global shutter

  2. Panasonic will kill the S1 and S1R line

  3. Sony’s a9 III will get a firmware update to allow CFe 4.0, unlock 240 FPS

  4. Sony will usher in the return of the premium, all in one compact

  5. Canon and Nikon will add C2PA via firmware before the 2024 Olympics

  6. Canon won’t release another “high resolution” camera, perhaps ever

  7. Pentax won’t release the promised 35mm film camera

  8. Sigma’s full-frame Foveon sensor is coming in 2024, or not at all

  9. Sony and Canon will continue to release vlogging cameras despite DJI clearly having won

  10. DJI will release a handheld large-sensor camera

For more details on these predictions as well as a review of how Petapixel did on their 2023 predictions, go to their site:

 
Interesting list. I really hope #3 comes true. I have the SLR niche covered and the phone niche, but could really use something a bit more modern for a carry around compact.
 
For #4, do we really need more resolution without increasing the size of the sensor? What's the R5, 45mp? Seems about all one would need.
 
For #4, do we really need more resolution without increasing the size of the sensor? What's the R5, 45mp? Seems about all one would need.
Yet people still want more reach...
see here: https://focus-on-photography-forum.net/threads/pro-photography-doesnt-have-a-future.702/post-19047
The poster noted that a 600 mm lens on a 6.17x4.55 mm sensor gave more reach than a full frame camera with a 600 mm lens. Cropping the full frame to give the same field of view lost resolution because there were fewer pixels in the image. A higher resolution sensor would allow more cropping.
 
Actually, that was a 1365mm (equivalent) on a 6.17x4.55 mm sensor :) My point wasn't so much the pixel density but the optical reach. :) But yea, I see your point.
 
Actually, that was a 1365mm (equivalent) on a 6.17x4.55 mm sensor :) My point wasn't so much the pixel density but the optical reach. :) But yea, I see your point.
I did the math in my head, and 1200 would be close enough based on available focal lengths :). The full frame would have had a more similar image after cropping if it had the same pixel density as the SX70.
 
I'm thinking that even an 800 on the 5DIV would have outperformed the SX70 even thought the pixel density favors the SX70.
 
I'm thinking that even an 800 on the 5DIV would have outperformed the SX70 even thought the pixel density favors the SX70.
Why so? I disagree because the math still favors the SX70, by both of our calculations.
 
Better optics, better pixels.
That's a cryptic comment. Optics- depends on the lens not the sensor, as the 5D4 has interchangeable lenses. A good Canon lens would give good results as you state. An inexpensive third-party lens may well give worse results than the SX70. I recognize the SX70 lens has some compromises to give the very large zoom range. If you have enough light, the pixel size doesn't matter very much for practical purposes. Aside from the pixel size, newer sensors have lower noise in low light despite smaller pixel size. I assume new sensor would continue this trend and give reduced noise despite smaller pixel size. Improved quantum efficiency in a new sensor allows improved high ISO performance so shot noise need not increase.
 
They are already wrong with #1. I’ve been reading that the R1 will not have a global shutter.
I've also read that it will have one. It depends on which rumor one reads. As the camera is supposed to be in the hands of some photographers, I'm surprised there hasn't been any leaks as yet.
 
I've also read that it will have one. It depends on which rumor one reads. As the camera is supposed to be in the hands of some photographers, I'm surprised there hasn't been any leaks as yet.
Closest I’ve seen is here. They are typically pretty accurate but who really knows.


As for PetePixel. I’ve seen them post inaccurate information before. Not predictions, so I’ve never really trusted that site.
 
Closest I’ve seen is here. They are typically pretty accurate but who really knows.


As for PetePixel. I’ve seen them post inaccurate information before. Not predictions, so I’ve never really trusted that site.
I didn't say you were wrong! One could post citations saying the opposite but they are all just rumors for now. The name "Canon Rumors" is both honest and accurate. I've also seen rumors claiming and refuting bask side illumination and quad pixel autofocus.
 
I didn't say you were wrong! One could post citations saying the opposite but they are all just rumors for now. The name "Canon Rumors" is both honest and accurate. I've also seen rumors claiming and refuting bask side illumination and quad pixel autofocus.
I didn’t get the feeling you said I was wrong at all. Just another rumor of many. I just trust Canon Rumors more than Petapixel.
 
Ya have to be a bit careful with Canon Rumors though. They do a pretty decent job rating it's authenticity, but some of their CR1 type rumors are pure rubbish.
 
I haven't been following photography tech much lately and had to look up "global shutter." Interesting.
 
I haven't been following photography tech much lately and had to look up "global shutter." Interesting.
The CCD sensors were global shutter, but we "lost" it when CMOS sensors became dominant. I'd also like the R1 (and other cameras) to be back-side illuminated so the light-active part of the sensor isn't covered by electronics.
 
OK guys, let the discussions begin! Here are Petapixel's 10 predictions for 2024:


  1. Sony and Canon will continue to release vlogging cameras despite DJI clearly having won



DJI has NOT "clearly won. I work at a very big camera chain store (I rather not mention the actual store), I see firsthand, what gets sold and what doesn't, what is in demand and what isn't... I disagree with that notion. But DJI has won in the gimbal department for sure
 
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